Выпуск X (10), 2007
Левтонова Ю.О. Слово памяти об Ольге Гавриловне Барышниковой
РАЗДЕЛ 1. ОБЩЕРЕГИОНАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОБЛЕМЫ РАЗВИТИЯ
Былиняк С.А. Страны Юго-
Abstract: Dr. Stanislav Byliniak in his paper entitled «The countries of South-
Many economists believe that post-
In this connection it is appropriate to put a question -
The paper also covers the specific features of economic development of certain South-
Заказникова Е.П. Общее и особенное в положении рабочей силы стран Юго-
Abstract: Dr. Evgenia Zakaznikova in her paper entitled «Согшпоп and special in labour situation of the countries of South-
Иоанесян С.И. Россия и ситуация с наркотиками в Юго-
Колдунова Е.В. Формирование сообщества АСЕАН: аспекты безопасности
Abstract: E. Koldunova's article is devoted to the prospects of ASEAN security community establishment. At the 12 lh ASEAN Summit in Cebu, the Philippines (9-
In the theoretic studies the idea of security communities was coined by K. Deutsch in application to the Western states and initially implied an integrated group of states which share a consensus about non-
Копылов О.В. К вопросу об экономическом сотрудничестве России с АСЕАН: реалии и возможности
Abstract: In article Kopylov O. studies the convincing evolution of ASEAN into a solid political and economic force in the Asia Pacific has filled the agenda of the Russia-
Evidently, the Russia-
Курицын М.В. Китайские инвестиции в странах ЮВА: тенденции и перспективы
Abstract: M. Kouritsyn notes that following to official Chinese recordings, SEA countries direct investment in China are much more than Chinese ones in ASEAN area — 40 and 1,5 US$ bin to the end of 2006). On this basis, PRC Government and Chinese businessmen strongly repudiate the charges of ((investment expansion» appearing from time to time in SEA countries. But actually the picture is not so rosy and even contradictory. If one takes into account that the main part of Chinese investment comes to SEA countries via Hongkong (or Cayman and British Virgin Islands), the actual volume of Chinese direct investment in the region author believes to exceed 35 USS bin. So really the problem of imbalance of investment flows between PRC and SEA countries is not so crucial today. Even more — now SEA countries are much more anxious about Chinese 'Go Global' programme: they hope for getting much more investment from PRC, their wealthy and prosperous neighbor.
Мосяков Д.В. ЮВА и американо-
Abstract: Dr. Dmitry Mosiakov in his paper ((Intensification of contradictions between the US and China in South-
Осипова М.Г. Региональная и глобальная финансовая интеграция в Юго-
Abstract: Dr. Marina Osipova's paper entitled ((Financial integration in South-
Рогожина Н.Г. Влияние экологического фактора на формирование бизнес-
Abstract: Dr. Natalya Rogojina emphasizes the importance of the incorporation of environmental interests in the strategy of development of the SEA countries, taking into account the goal of creating the new model of «green» growth. It means that industrial development of the region's countries should be orientated towards promoting the efficient us of natural resources and reducing the risk of polluting the environment with the subsequent modification of their business environment.
РАЗДЕЛ 2. ПОЛИТИЧЕСКОЕ И ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКОЕ РАЗВИТИЕ ОТДЕЛЬНЫХ СТРАН
Васильев В.Ф. Почему переехала столица Мьянмы/Бирмы?
Abstract: Dr. Vladimir Vasiliev article is dedicated to an unusual and certainly puzzling event -
Глебов Д. Другой взгляд на современную Бирму
Головин С. Таиландско-
Abstract: In Golovin's S. study considers the new developments in Thai -
Господынько А.А. Сингапур и Индонезия в 2006 г.
Abstract: The article «Singapore and Indonesia in 2006» by Gospodinko A. analyzes bilateral relations of two neighboring states. The relations though sometimes difficult and tense appear to be fruitful in the areas of mutual interests like economic development.
Suspicion still persists in some areas of cooperation but nevertheless it seems that bilateral relations are on the right track.
Closer ties in economic and military fields are becoming a reality already. Resolution of all disputes will definitely pave the way for a successful mutual development.
Гуревич Э.М. Сингапур после выборов 2006 г.
Dr. Emma Gourevitch analyses some results of Lee Hsien Loong's first premier-
As to the domestic policy, the author stresses that a tight control, both of the political opposition parties and of members of the public who choose to criticise the government in the media, remains a cornerstone of the new Prime Minister's course. In author's opinion the knuckleduster approach can no longer be as readily applied today as in the early years of PAP rule.
The major constrain comes from within the nation itself, in the first place from the young generation whose vote will make a big difference in future elections.
Другов А.Ю. Индонезия в 2005 г. Стабилизация в экономике и разногласия в элите
Abstract: In Dr. Alexey Drugov's study entitled ((Indonesia in 2006: stabilization in the economy and discord in the elite» it is stressed that against the background of a certain stabilization in Indonesia's economy the discord in the higher circles of the country's elite had been growing. It was accompanied with the process of Islamisation upcountry and slower pace of democratic reforms.
As for the foreign policy the author highlights President S.B.Yudhoyono's visit to the Russian Federation and intensification of partnership between the two countries, at the same time stressing the longstanding contradictions between Indonesia and the US mainly on the question of the forms of fighting against terrorism. The author considers as a factor of concern the controversial situations in Indonesia's relations with Malaysia and Singapore.
Ефимова Л.М. Демократия и ислам в общественной мысли современной Индонезии
Abstract: Dr. Larisa Efimova focuses her attention on discussions in Indonesia's Islamic community around the problem of compatibility between Islam and democracy. Opinions are quite diverse. Radicals insist on absolute incompatibility between two systems of values. «Liberal Moslems» accept democracy, trying to modify the idea according with Indonesian cultural identity. Nee-
Кочкин П. Современное состояние торговых отношений Вьетнама и Китая
Кравков А.Г. О положении национальных меньшинств Тэйнгуен во Вьетнаме в начале XXI века
Abstract: Kravkov A. analises the major problem for the leaders of the modern Vietnam is the relations with the hill tribes (jarai, rhade, banhar), living in the Central Highlands. The lack of the central bodies attention to the poor socioeconomic situation in the plateau in 1990s lead to considerable actions of the Montagnards in 2001 and 2004. Warning to Hanoi, these protests were widely highlighted on the West by human rights organizations like the Human Rights Watch and the Montagnard Foundation. Moreover, the US used the subject to bring pressure on Vietnam when discussing the key bilateral issues. For this reason, the Vietnamese government since 2001 carries on a complex policy aimed at poverty reduction, rapid industry development, building economic and social infrastructure. The great efforts were made to resolve the main problems, including the preservation of the hill tribes traditional land-
Левтонова Ю.О. Филиппины: политика – реалии и тенденции 2006 -
Abstract: Dr. Yulia Levtonova in her paper analyses the results and trends in political process in the Philippines (2006 -
Мазырин В.М. Основные тенденции и результаты развития экономики СРВ в 2006 г.
Abstract: Dr. V. Mazyrin presents overview of core trends and achievements of Vietnam's economic performance. In the first section he evaluates consequences of inward and outward flows onto development facilities. The specific influence of global outcome was quite contradictious while market reforms inside the country created more stimuli for national progress and equitable growth.
The second section informs on economic growth indicators which demonstrate macroeconomic stability and dynamics of Vietnam. In particular, it displays data on increasing of income per capita, an inflow of foreign direct investment and official development assistance, foreign trade turnover and regional cooperation acceleration. These achievements demonstrate the right way of economic politics.
In the third section the structural shifts are examined. Transition to a market economy eased progressive changes of balance ratio between main sectors of manufacture and services. The author argues the trend of domestic economy transformation from agrarian into industrial one. It is accompanied by continuing ownership reallocation in the main realms of economic activities which fosters the country's move to a new order. Particularities and other core shifts in each realm (industry, agriculture, services and trade) are shown in this section too.
The next large part of the paper explores main directions of financial policy thus assessing current reforms in this field. The author analyzes budget and revenue execution, credit and monetary methods of regulation, currency and exchange rate fluctuation, external debt performance, investment flows origins, outcome and capital disbursement realities. High investment activities are regarded as due confirmation of Vietnam's fast growth and its capital intensive character.
Dr. Mazyrin confirms overall positive results of the process of Vietnam's market transformation and integration to global economy. Catch-
Мурашева Г.Ф. Х-
Abstract: Dr. Galina Murasheva in her paper surveys the evolution of Vietnam's foreign policy doctrine since 1945 till today. The author stresses that this doctrine has been meeting the challenges of the time while developing and improving its main principles and strategies. In the 1940-
In the early 21-
The author dwells on the results of Vietnam's foreign policy in 2006 which was very successful for the country both on the global and on regional levels.
Пахомова Л.Ф. Трансформация социально-
Abstract: Dr. Luidmila Pakhomova asserts that the dramatic restructure of Malaysian economy from one a primary commodity to an industrialized country producing a broad range of goods and services, including innovation ones. For high-
Попов А.В. Джакарта: социально-
Abstract: Dr. Popov A. analyses the most difficult socio-
Симония А.А. Новые приоритеты во внешней политике Мьянмы
Abstract: Dr. Aida Simoniya examines new priorities of Myanmar's foreign policy since Myanmar has faced mounting diplomatic pressure from the international community after the renewed detention of Aung San Suu Kyi in May 2003. The author assessed how the regime has been able to take advantage of the economic, security and geostrategic interests of both China and India in the country to achieve developmental and security goals. As USA and other western countries have sought to place Myanmar under the scrutiny of the UN Security Council on the grounds that its domestic circumstances have regional security implications, the paper highlights how its relations with Beijing and Moscow have assumed ever greater significance.
Смирнова А.А. Страны ЮВА -
Abstract: A. Smirnova is of opinion that by 2007 SEA countries have invested more than US$14,4 bin in Vietnam (1083 projects) outbidding by total value two other groupings (i. e. offshore zones and EC). In the top-
Соколов А.А. Вьетнамская культура: глобализация и рынок
Abstract: Dr. Anatoly Sokolov in his paper ((Vietnamese culture in a market society and in time of globalization)) stresses the changing context of Vietnamese culture development and functioning with the state still continuing to control cultural product, both local and foreign.
Cultural exchange and advent of foreign, mainly mass culture tends to expand, including international theatre and cinema festivals, foreign musicians' performances, translation of literary works and so on. English is more widely used as well as Internet as a means of communication, electronic mass media and «a new literary environment)).
Modern Vietnamese literature is characterized by multiple trends from formalistic experiments to the rise of mass literature. Indigenous literature as a whole evolves towards the tastes of mass consumer.
Fewer production at the state film studios goes along with the rise of production at private film studios and with joint cinema production with foreigners including Vietnamese emigres.
TV retains its leading role as the main source of information and inspiration of cultural life. Commercialization of musical industry and fine arts (especially picture-
Rapid expansion of tourism (international as well as domestic) which is growing to be one of the country's leading industry, demonstrates the scale of Vietnam's involvement in the process of globalization.
Сучков Г.В. Проблемы и перспективы продолжения преобразований в Вооруженных силах Индонезии в 2006-
Урляпов В.Ф. Малайзия: некоторые аспекты политического развития
Abstract: Dr. Vyacheslav Urlyapov in his article describes the main aspects of a domestic developments in Malaysia. The author writes that a decade after the Asian financial crisis, Malaysia's economy is at its best shape. The last few years have shown a significant strengthening of economic fundamentals with the government's move to improve competitiveness and to narrow budget deficit. Annual GDP growth hovered in the 6 per cent range in 2006. Prime Minister Abdullah Ahmad Badawi launched the country's Third Industrial Master Plan. It targets a 6.3 per cent average economic growth in the next 15 years.
Nevertheless, not all is quiet on the domestic front. Malaysia has come into a rough time with deteriorating race relations between its majority ethnic Malays and minority Chinese and Indians. Half a century into nationhood the idea of a Bangsa Malaysia -
Besides, a sharp row has emerged between Prime Minister and Mahathir Mohamad, the former country's leader. Malaysia's public has been dismayed by the spectacle of a elder statesman turned chief opposition leader.
Фомичева Е.А. Таиланд в 2007 году – положение в стране после переворота
Abstract: Dr. Elena Fomicheva researches the political situation in Thailand after the military coup d'etat of 19 th September 2006. She describes the military coup as a means to end the political deadlock and considers the political prospects for parliamentary elections, including the controversies in working out of the new constitution, the possible political future of deposed prime-